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In the first poll released after new petition filings, Democrat JB Pritzker leads incumbent Republican Governor Bruce Rauner by 15 % in a four way race including Conservative Party candidate Sam McCann and Libertarian Kash Jackson.
The poll of 1208 likely Illinois general election voters was conducted June 26-28, 2018. The margin of error is 2.8%. The poll was conducted by live callers and answered on both land lines (631) and cell phones (577).
Since 2001, Victory Research has conducted a semi-monthly statewide poll called The Illinois Poll. Victory Research does not have a client in the Illinois Governor’s race. Victory Research’s website is www.illinoispoliticsblog.com.
Rauner, already the underdog in every published poll since the primary, is hurt more by the presence of the two new candidates than is Pritzker, according to the poll. McCann and Jackson combined receive more than 17% from self-identified Republicans and only 1.2% from self-identified Democrats, according to the poll. In addition, the two new candidates take significant support from Rauner in Central and Southern Illinois, according to the poll.
In the four way race, Pritzker is ahead or tied in every geographic region of the state except the collar counties, where Rauner holds a slight lead (41.9%-38.3%), as well as in Southern Illinois (32.8%-32.0%). McCann’s support hits double digits in Central Illinois, where he is from (11.6%), and in southern Illinois (10.2%).