May 31, 2018 For more information
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On the day the Illinois General Assembly passed a state budget, incumbent Republican Governor Bruce Rauner trails Democratic challenger JB Pritzker by fifteen points (47.3%-32.2%) according to the May edition of The Illinois Poll. The poll shows that a lingering division in the state’s Republican Party still hampers the Governor’s re-election bid. Last month’s Illinois Poll showed Pritzker with an 18% lead over Rauner.
The poll of 1208 likely Illinois general election voters was conducted May 22-24, 2018. The margin of error is 2.8%. The poll was conducted by live callers and answered on both land lines (644) and cell phones (564).
Since 2001, Victory Research has conducted a semi-monthly statewide poll called The Illinois Poll. Victory Research does not have a client in the Illinois Governor’s race. Victory Research’s website is www.illinoispoliticsblog.com.
According to the poll, Governor Rauner has less overall support among Republicans than Pritzker has from Democrats. Of respondents who identified themselves as Republicans, Rauner beats Pritzker 67.2%-12.9%, but among self-identified Democrats, Pritzker leads 75.2-7.8%.
Geographically, according to the poll, Pritzker has a wide lead in reliably Democratic Chicago (75.6%-10.6%) and Suburban Cook County (55.7%-25.0%). Rauner has a narrow lead in the Collar Counties (40.6%-39.9%), Northern Illinois (42.3%-38.5%) and Central Illinois (35.7%-35.3%). Rauner has opened a substantial lead in Southern Illinois (46.1%-29.7%), according to the poll.
Pritzker leads among both male (44.8%-32.6%) and female (49.5%-31.9%) voters, according to the poll. Pritzker also leads among white voters (42.1%-37.1%), African-American voters (73.6%-8.8%), and Latino voters (48.2%-27.7%).
A separate question was asked about whether respondents believe that Governor Rauner “deserves to be re-elected to a second term in office.” 34.1% of respondents said yes, while 53.1% of respondents said no. Those who said Rauner deserves re-election saw a slight uptick from the April Illinois Poll when 32.7% said he did.